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書封 把統計學剝光光:用直覺就能理解的12個統計原理,揭穿資料操弄的假象
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把統計學剝光光:用直覺就能理解的12個統計原理,揭穿資料操弄的假象

Published
2026/03/31
Format
PDF
Subject
ISBN
9786267589854
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鄉民狂推的最實用學科「統計學」,大數據時代每個人都該學!
別總被民調數字帶風向,當大數據、演算法與百分比
聯手編織謊言,專業報告也可能會是迷魂藥!
用直覺就能懂的統計原理,幫你剝開那些精心設計、假裝理性的數字糖衣




數字本身不會說謊,但說謊的人會創造數據!

以下五組看似專業、合理的統計分析,其實藏著致命的邏輯陷阱:
1.上班愛休息的人,死於癌症的機率更高
2.砸100萬買樂透,回本機率高達50%
3.A候選人民調數字,領先對手5個百分點
4.XX基金的投資績效,持續數年超越大盤
5.某某新藥的心臟病治療成效高達 7 成

這些都是統計數據的分析結果,也是刻意包裝出來的數字謊言!大數據時代,當資料被蓄意操作、數字假象被刻意擴散,往往導致我們明明看了專業的統計資料,卻還是做出錯誤決定——想想那些踩雷的餐廳、不適任的候選人,以及預估勝率很高卻輸了的球賽。

統計不是數學公式,而是一看到數字就能用直覺判讀真相

雖然,從選餐廳、總統大選到打擊率,統計數字無所不在,但「統計」這門學科素來以艱澀聞名。本書作者查爾斯.惠倫(Charles Wheelan)三度獲選達特茅斯學院最佳教授,他所撰寫的經濟學入門易懂又有趣,被選為美國大學指定參考書,現已出版14種語言版本。在這本書裡,他以幽默輕鬆的行文方式,闡述用直覺就能理解的重要統計概念。
  
讀完本書,你可以:
識破偽裝|揪出「看起來很科學」的指標,拆解操弄數據的常見套路
直覺判讀|不用死背公式,就能從生活中的相關性輕鬆建立數字邏輯
拆解黑箱|看懂演算法如何預測未來,提升你對「假事實」的免疫力
尊重真相|養成數據資料倫理,避免做出「用統計殺人」的錯誤判讀

誰適合讀這本書?
一般大眾:提升批判性思維,不再被新聞數據、社群熱搜輕易洗腦
投資理財:識破「歷史績效」、「年化報酬」或「勝率」的神話迷思
數據分析:掌握數據資料背後的底層邏輯,不再被演算法所「餵養」
企業主管:區分「虛榮指標」與「關鍵指標」,識破被美化的數據假象

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